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Jul 27, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Poker Strategy / Squeeze play.

And you're being a bit weak by just looking at the maths too, imo.

Even if the maths are correct to shove your K-10s against the villains calling range - why take a shot at the wrong side of a 60/40 in an obviously fishy field? You can pick better spots than that if they're that bad.

 
Jul 27, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Poker Strategy / Squeeze play.

Umm to answer the OP, this is an okay squeeze in a $100 tourney.

In the actual situation? This is an abortion.
It's the Daily Double. People will call you with A4os there :P

 
Jul 25, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Chipmeup Events / Event 27040: Sky City - Monthly Deep-Stack - NL Holdem

Thanks for investing all - didn't happen this time again :/

Got kinda screwed with JJ when 5 people limped, I raise the 150 bb to 1000 straight from the BB. One guy snap called. I check-raised a 9 high flop, he came along wiht KQ and turned a Q :/ I lost a bit much on the turn though prob.

Then ended up shoving a flush draw into a bigger flush draw with a pair :P Ugh.

Next time..

 
Jul 23, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Poker Strategy / KK allin pf in a cash game

Ohhhhhh... ok that changes things a bit.

But still, even in a 9-max game, I think it's a mistake to fold KK the vast majority of the time. I mean you have to be right 4/5 times to make that profitable. There's just not that many situations where you can be THAT sure that they have AA imo.

The only time I'd ever really consider folding KK pre is in a tournament. And then, not because I'm more sure that they have AA, but because my tournament life has to factor into my decision. Cash games - just accept the cooler and rebuy.

 
Jul 22, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Poker Strategy / KK allin pf in a cash game

Folding KK HU in a cash game is always pretty retarded; unless you're like 200bb deep against an ultra super-nit.

You're still 20% against AA. Just click call and move on.

 
Jul 22, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Chipmeup Events / Event 27040: Sky City - Monthly Deep-Stack - NL Holdem

Hey all.

This is for the Monthly NLHE deepstack tournament here at Sky City. I've had a pretty good record playing deep-stacks live, it's probably my best form of poker. Results perhaps don't show that on CMU so far, so I'm putting 50% of this up so I can start tracking some decent results here.

Will go ahead regardless of any of these shares sell or not..

GL me..

 
Jul 22, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Chipmeup Events / Event 27040: Sky City - Monthly Deep-Stack - NL Holdem

Comments for this event go here...

 
Jul 21, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / Wake up Tony!!! - SAVE CHIPMEUP

*sigh* okay, re-read and it makes sense now :>

Apologies, rwest. Will read more attentively in future..

 
Jul 21, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / Wake up Tony!!! - SAVE CHIPMEUP

rwest you really are losing the plot

a) You have pointed out several times the CMU disclaimer. For the 4th time, I ask: WHY are you asking what CMU's resolution is for a private transaction gone wrong? I KNOW this includes staking! Duh? It is a PRIVATE transaction, which is both obvious and explicitly stated in the terms and conditions. What on earth are you complaining about?

b) I'm not the one who was asking for site protection? Never have I ever complained about any sort of security here.

Keep on rambling though, serve yourself lol.

 
Jul 21, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / Wake up Tony!!! - SAVE CHIPMEUP

"all transactions on CMU are private...CMU can't enforce any of them...did you not read the disclaimer by CMU prior to buying a share?"

Umm rwest. That's exactly my point? The transactions are private, so why are you asking for CMU's resolution on a private transaction gone bad?

 
Jul 21, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / Wake up Tony!!! - SAVE CHIPMEUP

What do you mean what's MY point?!

You've introduced an example of a private transaction, and you're asking what CMU's resolution is? CMU doesn't have one. Why should they? It's a private transaction between two people, of which they are not one.

 
Jul 20, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / Wake up Tony!!! - SAVE CHIPMEUP

rwest, wtf does a private transfer have to do with CMU?

If someone initiates a transfer privately with another player, it is their responsibility only. They should only do it with people they trust etc..

 
Jul 20, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / 2 royals in 1 hour in same tourney.

shivas could you elaborate on what you're talking about here? have ZERO clue what you're on about?

Each hand is (pseudo) random, so why does it matter how many there are?

 
Jul 19, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / 2 royals in 1 hour in same tourney.

The odds would be:

(1/650k) + ((1/650k)*32)

Which is getting dealt a royal, then getting 32 shots at gettign it again... I think that's right :P

 
Jul 13, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Technical Questions / Auction ban.

The "last few seconds" is supposed to be 5 seconds doofus :P

Notice how it goes 8, 7, 6 then "last few seconds"?

 
Jul 3, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / Rebuys bad for the WSOP?

Rwest. *sigh*. Okay, here are the answers. Feel free to take a minute to digest them so that you understand before replying :)

"if bankroll = succss, then you could justify getting rid of any tournament that has a high buyin"

While this is a correct extrapolation of the logic I (and the WSOP) have used, a line has to be drawn somewhere. High buyin tournaments are necessary for all sorts of reasons, most of which are obvious. It's easy to draw the line at re-buy tournaments though, which are a more blatant display of the advantage inherent in bankroll.

"Also, I can only rebuy once in a rebuy. Once you have more than the starting chips, you can not rebuy again."

No, you can rebuy as many times as you like. Yes, obviously you have to lose your existing chips first. But if youc an continually re-buy, then losing your chips doesn't matter much, does it?

" Simply shoving all-in the time isn't going to work. If it eventually does, your down so many rebuys that you'd have to get in the higher part of the money to earn back all the rebuys you've spent. Again, watch any high-buy in rebuy tournament. This isn't a successful strategy in the long run."

Ask Daniel Negreanu about that? In one of last year's WSOP re-buy tournaments, Negeanu rebought like 20 times for 5k each, so he eventually had to come 5th place just to make his money back. He ended up coming 5th or 4th. But he was out for player of the year, not necessarily just the bracelet. That's the crucial point here - if there is to be credibility and prestige in the POTY title, and in receiving a bracelet, then the legitimacy of them must be preserved. Removing re-buys was a way to do that.

"If you think that overplaying draws by shoving all in is a way to accumulate chips, then why wouldn't you do it in a cash game if you had an unlimited source of income"

Because in a cash game, people don't need to preserve their tournament life, do they. This is the #1 strategic difference between cash games and tournaments? In a re-buy tournament, it's often strategically correct to totally overplay any sort of draw, because it places maximum pressure on your opponents and gives you two ways to win. Your opponent, will have to factor in not only what they think you have, but whether that is a good moment to risk their tournament life. That sort of thing simply isn't going to wash in a cash game, you will be owned pretty badly if you try that.

Incidentally, do you even play rebuy events? It's pretty puzzling you'd just flat out claim "the strategy doesn't work". It's probably the most salient feature of re-buy tournaments? The strategy DOES work, and is used by the great players just like the bad ones. The real skill in re-buy tournaments, that separates the good from the weak players, is AFTER the re-buy period.

"The main reason rebuys were eliminated was because of possible collusion (chip dumping during the rebuy period). "

This is completely false.

The reason that was always provided by the WSOP and the PAC (players advisory council) was that rebuys were being removed to preserve the legitimacy of bracelets and the POTY title..

 
Jul 3, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / Rebuys bad for the WSOP?

"There is no correlation between winning rebuys and a bottomless wallet. If one equalled the other, then you should see the same exact guys winning all the rebuys on Full Tilt and Poker Stars. "

Pretty bad equivocation here rwest. Correlation doesn't need to be 100%. Sure, it's definitely not a 100% correlation here, and the objection you've raised is decent evidence of that. But you've said nothing to negate that there IS, still, a significant correlation between bankroll and chance of success.

It's both completely intuitive, and mathematically provable anyway. If we start with the basic premise that more chips = more chance of winning a tournament (which I'm sure you won't dispute), then it's merely a question of how we arrive there. Who has a greater chance of ending up with more chips at the end of the rebuy period? Someone who can go all in with every single draw/made hand they have, or someone who needs to be more conservative due to only being able to afford 2-3 rebuys? Not sure why you'd begin to argue against this :s

And enough people agreed that rebuys have been removed from the WSOP - which is a great thing.

"Cash tables (which are basically the same as rebuys during the rebuy period)"

This is a pretty ridiculous comment too. Cash play is NOTHING like a rebuy tournament during the rebuy period. During the rebuy period, people are looking to accumulate chips as fast as possible. Overplaying all draws, not being concerned at all about being in coinflips or even 60/40s as a dog. If you're playing a cash table like this, can you let me know when and where please? :P

 
Jul 2, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / Buy shares with CMU money

Agree - this would be very useful, and surely pretty easy to implement.

 
Jul 2, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Suggestions & Feedback / Auto-bidding on auctions

Btw, I will admit that the REASON I'm bringing this stuff up is that the autobid is bad for me personally. I'm not pretending to be acting with anything other than self-interest here, but it doesn't change the fact that (imo) I'm right. The points I'm making are valid. But yes, for my sake AND for CMU's, I really want to see the autobids gone.

 
Jul 2, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Suggestions & Feedback / Auto-bidding on auctions

Rwest, you're so beside the point here. Please try to follow what people are actually saying?

a) Nobody has said it's CMU's "responsibility" to look out for newbies and ensure that they aren't losing money. Stop using such a ridiculous straw-man argument? The reason it's bad that newbies lose money, is the exact reason that CMU stated for limiting us to 3 per day: that the same people winning is BAD for the site, because participation = growth. Obviously, I objected at the time, but I'll concede this was purely because I was winning a tonne of the auctions before. If more people are participating and profiting, then more people will come back to the site, have a positive association with the site, and grow to participate in the staking. That's exactly what I did. I only heard about this site because of the auctions initially. I did those for months, and then started in the shares, and have participated regularly in this capacity now. I never would've bothered if it wasn't for the auctions attracting me here... So if CMU are going to accept that partipation = growth, then the autobid as the opposite effect, because now newbies will *never* win. Not their "responsibility", but is something they should care about.

b) Just because everyone can autobid, does *not* mean it is 'fair game'. This is the exact logic used for removing rebuys from WSOP events. Everyone can rebuy right? Oh wait, no they can't, cause not everybody has $100k that they can blow on rebuy events like Negreanu could. So they weren't fair. It's the exact same thing here - everyone CAN autobid, but not everybody has the same sort of bankroll that some of us have. So there's an obvious advantage disparity here that you are completely failing to address.

 
Jul 1, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Suggestions & Feedback / Auto-bidding on auctions

Exactly, odyssey. You're being incredibly naive rwest.

It's all about consistency. First they make such a big deal about making sure that newbies have a chance, to build their user-base, and limit my opoprtunities to win. Sure, this was a bad thing for me personally, but like odyseey, I live with that because I understand the big picture. The 'bottom line' in the short term is NOT all that matters. CMU are trying to build their user-base, even at short term detriment.

But now the auto-bid has had the OPPOSITE effect. Now, it's practically impossible for any newbie to win, with autobid. I don't even have to be awake anymore. I can throw on $200 autobid for every auction and go do something else. It's just bad for everyone. It's bad for us veterans - cause we have to pay a crapload more for these pieces of pros now, it's bad for the newbies - because they will never win anymore, and it's bad for CMU because although they've made a tonne from the initial ones, people are soon going to realise they have no chance in the auctions, and then CMU loses their profitability AND user-base. Then we're just back to square 1.

It doesn't take a lot of business accumen to understand that sacrificing in the short term can pay dividends in the long term :P

 
Jul 1, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Suggestions & Feedback / Auto-bidding on auctions

Pretty simple. If I go on strike, I get nothing :P So that's worse than now.

The varying cost of bidding reflects the value of the prize though frank, it makes sense to me. It's 75c or 90c for auctions where you can win a prize worth $1000+ etc, and only 20c to bid on a $25 prize value. That's fair..

I also agree that bidding should be restricted to active staking members though.
I was guilty of this at first, but now I've bought heaps of shares.

 
Jul 1, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Suggestions & Feedback / Auto-bidding on auctions

lol.. what on earth is a strike going to do? I miss opportunities, other people rejoice at not having to compete against me in the auctions... doesn't seem like it's much incentive for them to change :P

Going on strike now would just make things worse for me.

 
Jul 1, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Suggestions & Feedback / Auto-bidding on auctions

Well what else can I do?

That's exactly my point. There's nothing left to do but stick on a few hundred dollars on autobid and wait, now. There's no strategy, no rivalry, no benefit to those who stay on the site and actively participate.

So yes, I'm against the auto-bids, but I'm not sure why you'd find it "strange" that I'm using it, when it's really my only way of winning.

 
Jun 30, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

Suggestions & Feedback / Auto-bidding on auctions

Is total BS :/

Can we please change this, admin? There is no longer any strategy whatsoever. All the fun, all the fun little rivalries are gone. Now it's just whoever has the biggest bankroll wins. Guaranteed earner for CMU, but surely defies the point of these auctions.

Really recommend ditching the idea completely, but at the very least, changing how they work. Perhaps you're only allowed to auto-bid for 10 mins at a time, so people can have a bathroom break or something. I dunno.. but this is weak.

 
Jun 29, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / How can he call?

Definitely agree that not shoving preflop is a mistake..

 
Jun 28, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / How can he call?

"His raise was too small to make any hand fold so his reraise preflop was retarded. Usually if you want to resteal , you raise enough not give the opponent odds to call with hands like 66- 10 10 or A10 AJ suited. So i dont see how you say he played it right. "

Don't agree with this comment though Zeb.

His raise-size preflop is pretty good imo.

a) ANY 3-bet deep in a tourney is a strong play.
b) If he gets re-shoved, he can fold and has gained value by raising less.
c) His raise size has left him with just over a pot-sized bet left on the flop, which gives him quite a lot of flexibility on the flop. If he'd raised much more preflop, then if you called, you're pretty much committed, given your odds on the flop if he only has a half-pot bet left.

And you certainly do not have the odds to set-mine here with 66-1010, and calling with AJ there isn't a great spot to be in either. His raise puts you to the test, out of position, without committing himself completely.

 
Jun 28, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

General / OT / How can he call?

"No, if u read carefully this is not what i'm saying. I said if he puts you on AK he is a 21% to 75% dog, so close to 1:3... 15k on his last call to 45k in the pot are also pretty much 1:3... And i calculate this by either counting and discounting outs myself or use an odds calculator like the one on cardplayer.com ;-)"

Umm, a bit misguided here, Haze.

a) The money went in on the flop. If he puts Zeb on AK, then he's only about 15% or less to win (haven't worked it out properly)

b) Even if you are going to show that he had the correct pot odds given his read of AK, then he has to be like 99% sure of his read for the call to be correct. Just accepting AK as a mere possibility (or even probability) isn't enough.

Pretty horrible call imo, but it's at least consistent with the way he played the rest of the hand heh.

 
Jun 28, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

ChipMeUp talk / Share Fonds: WSOP 50k HORSE

Actually what the hell.
I'll give him a chance.

I'll trade ya something for Hansen now Haze ;)

 
Jun 26, 2009
Yaksha_NZ Yaksha_NZ
78 posts
Enthusiast

ChipMeUp talk / Share Fonds: WSOP 50k HORSE

OK I'm out guys...You'd really need to have greenstein and ivey in there to make it worth my while.

GL guys.